Unité mixte de recherche 7235

Fundamentals, Macroeconomic Announcements and Asset Prices

Aymen Belgacem

[en]The aim of this paper is to study the impact of macroeconomic announcements on asset prices, with the objectives of both measuring the average response of stock returns to macroeconomic news surprises, and explaining the sources of such a reaction. To assess the importance of scheduled French and US macroeconomic announcements, Stock returns are analyzed on the French stock market. It is shown that, according to previous studies, there is little evidence of the reaction of the market to those surprises. News about inflation, U.S consumption and real economic activity are specially expected by investors. It confirms the leading role of the U.S. economy and in particular of U.S. consumers in determining the development of the world economy and the dynamics of stock markets. Results also show that unexpected positive surprise in the unemployment rate causes a cut on future excess returns and future dividends. The opposite reaction is observed from the housing starts indicator. The consumer price index appears to have an impact not only on future excess returns, but also on future real interest rates.[/en]

AGENDA

jeudi 22 février 2024

Colloques et Workshops

Crises and resilience in developing countries

lundi 26 février 2024

Law, Institutions and Economics in Nanterre (LIEN)

Jean Lacroix (U Paris Saclay, RITM)

Domino Secessions : Evidence from the US

mardi 27 février 2024

Colloques et Workshops

Harcèlement moral et sexuel dans la recherche

jeudi 29 février 2024

Lunch

Nouveaux Doctorants II

Thomas Jacquet, Amady Léchenet, Albin Salmon, Benjamin Trouvé

jeudi 29 février 2024

Groupe de travail Economie Comportementale

Claire Rimbaud (U. Dauphine)

Playing Dumb to Look Green

lundi 4 mars 2024

Law, Institutions and Economics in Nanterre (LIEN)

Shiva Shekhar (Tilburg Univ)

The Bright Side of the GDPR: Welfare-improving Privacy Management

mardi 5 mars 2024

Recherche et Economie et Socioéconomie Politique, des Institutions et des Régulations (RESPIR)

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L’invention de l’économie française

mardi 5 mars 2024

Webinar TELE – Theoretical European Law & Economics

Ester Manna (University of Barcelona, Spain)

3:00 pm to 4:15 pm (Paris time)

TBA

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