Unité mixte de recherche 7235

Jumps in Equilibrium Prices and Asymmetric News in Foreign Exchange Markets

Imane El Ouadghiri, Remzi Uctum

[en]In this paper we examine the intraday effects of surprises from scheduled and unscheduled announcements on six major exchange rate returns (jumps) using an extension of the standard Tobit model with heteroskedastic and asymmetric errors. Since observed volatility at high frequency often contains microstructure noise, we use a recently proposed non parametric test to filter out noise and extract jumps from noise-free FX returns (Lee and Mykland (2012)). We found that the most influential scheduled macroeconomic news are globally related to job markets, output growth indicators and public debt. These surprises impact FX jumps rather in the form of good news, as a result of pessimistic forecasts from traders during the crisis period analyzed. We reconfirmed for most of the currencies the hypothesis that negative volatility shocks have a greater impact on volatility than positive shocks of the same magnitude, reflecting markets’ concern about the cost of stabilization policies.[/en]

AGENDA

jeudi 8 juin 2023

Doctorants

Sahil Chopra (Université Sorbonne Paris-Nord)

Economics of litigation : Securities class action with third-party funding

lundi 12 juin 2023

Law, Institutions and Economics in Nanterre (LIEN)

Arthur Silve (IAST / Univ. Laval)

TBA

jeudi 15 juin 2023

Lunch

Guillaume Pierné

TBA

lundi 19 juin 2023

Law, Institutions and Economics in Nanterre (LIEN)

Juan Mora-Sanguinetti (Banco de Espana)

TBA

mardi 20 juin 2023

Colloques et Workshops

Webinar TELE –Theoretical European Law & Economics

mardi 20 juin 2023

When should non-performance of contracts be excused under changed circumstances?

Henrik Lando (Copenhagen Business School, Denmark)

1:30 pm to 2:45 pm (Paris time)

When should non-performance of contracts be excused under changed circumstances?

jeudi 22 juin 2023

Doctorants

Jules Chaperon

TBA

vendredi 1 septembre 2023

Professeurs invités

Ken Yahagi

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