Unité mixte de recherche 7235

On currency misalignments within the euro area

Virginie Coudert, Cécile Couharde, Valérie Mignon

Although nominal parities have been completely fixed within the euro area since the launch of the single currency, real effective exchange rates have continued to vary under the effect of inflation disparities, exhibiting a strong appreciation in the peripheral countries. In this paper, we assess real exchange rate misalignments for euro area countries by using a Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate (BEER) approach on the period 1980-2010. The results show that the peripheral member countries have been suffering from increasingly overvalued exchange rates since the mid-2000s, as their real appreciation has not stemmed from improving fundamentals in terms of productivity or external position. In addition, currency misalignments have been increased on average for all euro area countries since monetary union, while becoming more persistent. More worryingly, our findings highlight different patterns across members, as misalignments have been larger and more persistent in peripheral countries than in core countries.

AGENDA

lundi 25 septembre 2023

Law, Institutions and Economics in Nanterre (LIEN)

Xavier Lambin (ESSEC)

Less than meets the eye: simultaneous experiments as a source of algorithmic seeming collusion

mardi 26 septembre 2023

Recherche et Economie et Socioéconomie Politique, des Institutions et des Régulations (RESPIR)

André Orléan (EHESS)

ATTENTION : exceptionnellement, le séminaire aura lieu en G 301-302 et non en G614b

Valeur et monnaie: une approche institutionnaliste

jeudi 28 septembre 2023

Lunch

Philippe POINSOT

Quels sont les gagnants et les perdants des réformes de la fiscalité locale en France ? Une évaluation de la suppression de la CVAE

jeudi 28 septembre 2023

Développement Durable Environnement et Energie (DDEE)

Romain Espinosa (CIRED)

Salle 614B de 11h – 12h

The Animal Welfare Levy

jeudi 5 octobre 2023

Groupe de travail Economie Comportementale

Aurélie Bonein (Université de Rennes 1, CREM)

TBA

jeudi 5 octobre 2023

Doctorants

Himani Pasricha

The impact of climate variability on internal migration in Thailand.

dimanche 8 octobre 2023

Professeurs invités

Fayçal Hamdi

dimanche 8 octobre 2023

Professeurs invités

Tobias Kretschmmer

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