Unité mixte de recherche 7235

On the link between forward energy prices: A nonlinear panel cointegration approach

Valérie Mignon, Marc Joëts

[en]This paper investigates the relationship between forward prices of oil, gas, coal, and electricity using a nonlinear panel cointegration framework. To this end, we consider a panel of 35 maturities and control for the economic and financial environment using equity futures prices. Estimating the cointegrating relationship, we find that oil, gas and coal forward prices are positively linked, while the negative link between oil and electricity prices is consistent with a substitution effect between the two energy sources on the long run. Estimating panel smooth transition regression (PSTR) models, we show that the forward oil price adjustment process toward its equilibrium value is nonlinear and asymmetric, putting forward the key role played by self-sustaining dynamics and speculation phenomena. [/en]

AGENDA

lundi 27 juin 2022

Law, Institutions and Economics in Nanterre (LIEN)

Miriam Buiten (St Gallen Univ)

En distanciel à 11H30

From intermediaries to moderators of the internet: Should online platforms be liable?

jeudi 30 juin 2022

Doctorants

Zoltán Szücs | Gagnie Pascal Yebarth

Salle 401-402

Le rôle de la police municipale dans la satisfaction des attentes de la population parisienne en termes de tranquillité publique | Politiques publiques et externalités dans les jeux stratégiques de marché

vendredi 1 juillet 2022

Colloques et Workshops

9th Workshop on Economic Analysis of Litigation

lundi 4 juillet 2022

Colloques et Workshops

Webinar conjoint sur l’environnement et la santé dans les villes maritimes

lundi 18 juillet 2022

Colloques et Workshops

Workshop “Sustainability, Public Action, and Well-Being”

jeudi 1 septembre 2022

Professeurs invités

Stéphane Méchoulan

vendredi 16 septembre 2022

Colloques et Workshops

Tables rondes de macro-finance contemporaine

lundi 19 septembre 2022

Colloques et Workshops

Valeur, valeurs

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