Joint research unit 7235

Exchange rate misalignments and the external balance under a pegged currency system

Blaise Gnimassoun

This paper analyzes the link between the exchange rate misalignments and the external balance under a pegged currency system focusing on the CFA zone. Having discussed and chosen an appropriate analytical framework, it addresses the issue of model uncertainty regarding the equilibrium exchange rate model before estimating currency misalignments. The results show that misalignments have a negative and asymmetric impact on the current account. While overvaluation of the CFA franc deteriorates the current account in the CFA zone, undervaluation does not improve it. Finally, our results highlight that the export concentration tends to exacerbate the overall negative impact of currency misalignments on the external balance. Thus, greater economic diversification is needed in an environment in which countries face both uncertainty in the terms of trade and uncertainty in the nominal exchange rate to conduct a proactive exchange rate policy.

AGENDA

Thursday 7 December 2023

Groupe de travail Economie Comportementale

Vincent Lenglin (Université Catholique de Lille)

How Do We Apply Self-Protection to Others?

Thursday 7 December 2023

How Do We Apply Self-Protection to Others?

Vincent Lenglin (Université Catholique de Lille)

How Do We Apply Self-Protection to Others?

Thursday 7 December 2023

Explaining economic performances in the French employment zone: spatial externalities and related variety

Emmanuelle Faure

Explaining economic performances in the French employment zone: spatial externalities and related variety

Thursday 7 December 2023

Doctorants

Emmanuelle Faure

Explaining economic performances in the French employment zone: spatial externalities and related variety

Monday 11 December 2023

Law, Institutions and Economics in Nanterre (LIEN)

Bastien Michel (LEMNA, Nantes)

Measuring the Impact of Incarceration on Recidivism in Denmark

Monday 11 December 2023

Measuring the Impact of Incarceration on Recidivism in Denmark

Bastien Michel (LEMNA, Nantes)

Measuring the Impact of Incarceration on Recidivism in Denmark

Wednesday 13 December 2023

Économies du monde musulman

Chahir Zaki (LEO, Université d’Orléans)

Dette en Egypte : conjoncture défavorable ou structure vulnérable ?

Wednesday 13 December 2023

Dette en Egypte : conjoncture défavorable ou structure vulnérable ?

Chahir Zaki (LEO, Université d’Orléans)

Dette en Egypte : conjoncture défavorable ou structure vulnérable ?

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