Joint research unit 7235

Exchange rate misalignments and the external balance under a pegged currency system

Blaise Gnimassoun

This paper analyzes the link between the exchange rate misalignments and the external balance under a pegged currency system focusing on the CFA zone. Having discussed and chosen an appropriate analytical framework, it addresses the issue of model uncertainty regarding the equilibrium exchange rate model before estimating currency misalignments. The results show that misalignments have a negative and asymmetric impact on the current account. While overvaluation of the CFA franc deteriorates the current account in the CFA zone, undervaluation does not improve it. Finally, our results highlight that the export concentration tends to exacerbate the overall negative impact of currency misalignments on the external balance. Thus, greater economic diversification is needed in an environment in which countries face both uncertainty in the terms of trade and uncertainty in the nominal exchange rate to conduct a proactive exchange rate policy.

AGENDA

Thursday 9 February 2023

Gender, competitiveness, and reaction to defeat

Claire Mollier

Gender, competitiveness, and reaction to defeat

Thursday 9 February 2023

Doctorants

Claire Mollier

Gender, competitiveness, and reaction to defeat

Friday 10 February 2023

Colloques et Workshops

Digital Economics Workshop

Friday 10 February 2023

Colloques et Workshops

Digital Economics Workshop

Tuesday 14 February 2023

Recherche et Economie et Socioéconomie Politique, des Institutions et des Régulations (RESPIR)

Thibault Mirabel

Firms and Cooperatives: The Social Organizations of Production in Market Economies

Tuesday 14 February 2023

Firms and Cooperatives: The Social Organizations of Production in Market Economies

Thibault Mirabel

Firms and Cooperatives: The Social Organizations of Production in Market Economies

Wednesday 15 February 2023

Pratique du Takaful en France: l’expérience de SAAFI

Ezzedine GHLAMALLAH (CERGAM, Université Aix-Marseille)

Pratique du Takaful en France: l’expérience de SAAFI

Wednesday 15 February 2023

Économies du monde musulman

Ezzedine GHLAMALLAH (CERGAM, Université Aix-Marseille)

Pratique du Takaful en France: l’expérience de SAAFI

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