Joint research unit 7235

Food Prices and Inflation Targeting in Emerging Economies

Benjamin Carton, Marc Pourroy, Dramane Coulibaly

The two episodes of food price surges in 2007 and 2011 have been particularly challenging for developing and emerging economies’ central banks and have raised the question of how monetary authorities should react to such external relative price shocks. We develop a new-Keynesian small open-economy model and show that non-food inflation is a good proxy for core inflation in high-income countries, but not for middle-income and low-income countries. Although, in these countries we find that associating non-food inflation and core inflation may be promoting badly designed policies, and consequently central banks should target headline inflation rather than non-food inflation. This result holds because non-tradable food represents a significant share in total consumption. Indeed, the poorer the country, the higher the share of purely domestic food in consumption and the more detrimental lack of attention to the evolution in food prices.

AGENDA

Thursday 8 June 2023

Doctorants

Sahil Chopra (Université Sorbonne Paris-Nord)

Economics of litigation : Securities class action with third-party funding

Thursday 8 June 2023

Economics of litigation : Securities class action with third-party funding

Sahil Chopra (Université Sorbonne Paris-Nord)

Economics of litigation : Securities class action with third-party funding

Monday 12 June 2023

Law, Institutions and Economics in Nanterre (LIEN)

Arthur Silve (IAST / Univ. Laval)

TBA

Monday 12 June 2023

TBA

Arthur Silve (IAST / Univ. Laval)

TBA

Thursday 15 June 2023

Lunch

Guillaume Pierné

TBA

Thursday 15 June 2023

TBA

Guillaume Pierné

TBA

Monday 19 June 2023

Law, Institutions and Economics in Nanterre (LIEN)

Juan Mora-Sanguinetti (Banco de Espana)

TBA

Monday 19 June 2023

TBA

Juan Mora-Sanguinetti (Banco de Espana)

TBA

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