Joint research unit 7235

The Fate of Inventions. What can we learn from Bayesian learning in strategic options model of adoption ?

Marc Baudry, Edouard Civel

We develop a game where heterogeneous agents have the option of adopting an invention of uncertain quality or postponing their decision to benefit from others’ experience through Bayesian learning. Messages produced on the invention nature are noisy, representing the “teething troubles” of innovation. Our model gives microeconomic foundations to the S-shaped innovation diffusion curves, informational externality inducing strategic delay in agents’ behavior. Moreover, noise could nip in the bud the diffusion of inventions: numerical simulations underline a bi-modal distribution of steady states for innovation diffusion, stillborn or fully developed, bringing to light a reputational valley of death for inventions.

AGENDA

Tuesday 5 December 2023

Recherche et Economie et Socioéconomie Politique, des Institutions et des Régulations (RESPIR)

Clément Fontan (UC Louvain)

The ECB and the inflation monsters: strategic framing and the responsibility imperative (1998-2023)

Tuesday 5 December 2023

The ECB and the inflation monsters: strategic framing and the responsibility imperative (1998-2023)

Clément Fontan (UC Louvain)

The ECB and the inflation monsters: strategic framing and the responsibility imperative (1998-2023)

Thursday 7 December 2023

Groupe de travail Economie Comportementale

Vincent Lenglin (Université Catholique de Lille)

TBA

Thursday 7 December 2023

TBA

Vincent Lenglin (Université Catholique de Lille)

TBA

Thursday 7 December 2023

Explaining economic performances in the French employment zone: spatial externalities and related variety

Emmanuelle Faure

Explaining economic performances in the French employment zone: spatial externalities and related variety

Thursday 7 December 2023

Doctorants

Emmanuelle Faure

Explaining economic performances in the French employment zone: spatial externalities and related variety

Monday 11 December 2023

Law, Institutions and Economics in Nanterre (LIEN)

Bastien Michel (LEMNA, Nantes)

Measuring the Impact of Incarceration on Recidivism in Denmark

Monday 11 December 2023

Measuring the Impact of Incarceration on Recidivism in Denmark

Bastien Michel (LEMNA, Nantes)

Measuring the Impact of Incarceration on Recidivism in Denmark

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