Joint research unit 7235

Walking the tightrope: avoiding a lockdown while containing the virus

Yvan Guillemette, Fabrice Murtin, David Turner, Balázs Egert

Empirical work described in this paper explains the daily evolution of the reproduction rate, R, and mobility for a large sample of countries, in terms of containment and public health policies. This is with a view to providing insight into the appropriate policy stance as countries prepare for a potentially protracted period characterised by new infection waves. While a comprehensive package of containment measures may be necessary when the virus is widespread and can have a large effect on reducing R, they also have effect on mobility and, by extension, economic activity. A wide-ranging package of public health policies – with an emphasis on comprehensive testing, tracing and isolation, but also including mask-wearing and policies directed at vulnerable groups, especially those in care homes – offer the best approach to avoiding a full lockdown while containing the spread of the virus. Such policies may, however, need to be complemented by selective containment measures (such as restricting large public events and international travel or localised lockdowns) both to contain local outbreaks and because implementing some of the recommended public health policies may be difficult to achieve or have unacceptable social costs.

AGENDA

Thursday 30 November 2023

Colloques et Workshops

Workshop on gender issues and development

Thursday 30 November 2023

Household heterogeneity in macroeconomic models: A historical perspective

Aurélien SAÏDI

Household heterogeneity in macroeconomic models: A historical perspective

Thursday 30 November 2023

Lunch

Aurélien SAÏDI

Household heterogeneity in macroeconomic models: A historical perspective

Thursday 30 November 2023

Valuing climate change costs in presence of climate-induced land use changes

François Bareille (INRAe/PSAE)

Salle 614B de 11h – 12h

Valuing climate change costs in presence of climate-induced land use changes

Thursday 30 November 2023

Développement Durable Environnement et Energie (DDEE)

François Bareille (INRAe/PSAE)

Salle 614B de 11h – 12h

Valuing climate change costs in presence of climate-induced land use changes

Tuesday 5 December 2023

Recherche et Economie et Socioéconomie Politique, des Institutions et des Régulations (RESPIR)

Clément Fontan (UC Louvain)

The ECB and the inflation monsters: strategic framing and the responsibility imperative (1998-2023)

Tuesday 5 December 2023

The ECB and the inflation monsters: strategic framing and the responsibility imperative (1998-2023)

Clément Fontan (UC Louvain)

The ECB and the inflation monsters: strategic framing and the responsibility imperative (1998-2023)

Thursday 7 December 2023

Groupe de travail Economie Comportementale

Vincent Lenglin (Université Catholique de Lille)

TBA

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