Unité mixte de recherche 7235

Capturing international influences in US monetary policy through a NLP approach

Intervenant : Nicolas de Roux

Co-auteur: Laurent Ferrara

Discutants : Thomas Chuffart (sénior) et Stéphane Matton (junior

Abstract: We construct indicators of the attention paid by US monetary policymakers to the international situation. We apply natural language processing techniques to minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee. We discuss the channels through which foreign economic conditions can impact US monetary policy and their relative importance in Fed discussion. By adding these text-based indicators to a standard forward-looking Taylor rule, we derive a quantitative measure of the external influences on decisions made by the US Federal Reserve. Our results show that when international matters are discussed at greater lengths, the Fed is more accommodating than what would be suggested by the Taylor Rule.

AGENDA

lundi 3 avril 2023

Law, Institutions and Economics in Nanterre (LIEN)

Stefania Marcassa (CY Cergy)

En salle 614 et en distanciel

Migration, Social Change, and the Early Decline in U.S. Fertility

mardi 4 avril 2023

Recherche et Economie et Socioéconomie Politique, des Institutions et des Régulations (RESPIR)

Franck Bessis (Triangle et Université Lyon 2)

Une ethnographie de l’expertise économique d’Etat

mardi 4 avril 2023

Développement Durable Environnement et Energie (DDEE)

Etienne Lorang (Tilburg University)

Salle 614B de 16h00 – 17h00)

A CGE Integrating Material Stocks and Flows

jeudi 6 avril 2023

Lunch

Axel Gautier (Université de Liège)

The energy community and the grid

mardi 11 avril 2023

Recherche et Economie et Socioéconomie Politique, des Institutions et des Régulations (RESPIR)

Fabrice Dannequin (Université de Reims champagne Ardenne & laboratoire REGARDS)

L’Etat et le capitalisme chez Schumpeter. Un parasite utile ?

jeudi 13 avril 2023

Groupe de travail Economie Comportementale

Claire Mollier

Salle 301-302

Gender, competitiveness, and reaction to defeat

jeudi 13 avril 2023

Doctorants

Pascal Yebarth

Salle G110, 12h-13h

Taxing Market Power in Strategic Bilateral Trade with Quasi-Linear Preferences

vendredi 14 avril 2023

Colloques et Workshops

12th PhD Student Conference in International Macroeconomics

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